Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelAn open game: both sides to score, with Snayder Porozo and Mihajlo Cvetković both getting shots away.
Antwerp v Anderlecht prediction
Anderlecht are favourites on our numbers: 41% to win, against 33% for Antwerp and 26% for a draw. If you want one score, our predicted score is Antwerp 1–2 Anderlecht, the most likely Anderlecht win (9%). Antwerp are expected to score 1.4 goals and Anderlecht 1.6, 3.0 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (60%) and three or more goals is 58%.
On form, Antwerp have one win, one draw and four defeats from their last six games, and Anderlecht have three wins, one draw and two defeats. We expect Antwerp to have 14.9 shots (5.2 on target) and Anderlecht 14.2 (4.9 on target), and corners at 5.0 to 4.9.
Snayder Porozo (Antwerp) is the player we expect to shoot most, with 2.7 shots if they start. Mihajlo Cvetković (Anderlecht) leads for shots on target, at 1.1. Giulian Biancone of Anderlecht is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. Bawler's pick combines Both Teams to Score, Over 24.5 Total Shots, Snayder Porozo 1+ Shot and Mihajlo Cvetković 1+ Shot. We make the chance of all four coming in 45%, a fair price of 5/4 (2.24).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Antwerp · last 6
Anderlecht · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Anderlecht or draw is 67% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27 and 2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Jupiler Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win Antwerp vs Anderlecht?
Bawler's model rates this match: Anderlecht are favoured (41% win probability vs 33% for Antwerp, 26% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Antwerp vs Anderlecht?
Bawler's predicted score is Antwerp 1-2 Anderlecht: the most likely score if Anderlecht win, which is the likeliest result (41%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.7%. Expected total goals: 3.0.
How does Bawler predict Antwerp vs Anderlecht?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Antwerp 33%, the draw 26% and Anderlecht 41%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Antwerp vs Anderlecht?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 60% chance. That is based on Antwerp expecting 1.41 goals and Anderlecht 1.59.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Antwerp vs Anderlecht?
Bawler's model expects 3.0 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 58%.
When are the Antwerp v Anderlecht line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Antwerp v Anderlecht?
Both Teams to Score (60%), Over 24.5 Total Shots (77%), Snayder Porozo 1+ Shot (90%), Mihajlo Cvetković 1+ Shot (85%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 45% chance, a fair price of 5/4 (2.24). 18+, please gamble responsibly.