Zulte-Waregem on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
Zulte-Waregem are favourites on our numbers: 46% to win, against 29% for Antwerp and 25% for a draw. If you want one score, our predicted score is Zulte-Waregem 2–1 Antwerp, the most likely Zulte-Waregem win (9%). Zulte-Waregem are expected to score 1.7 goals and Antwerp 1.3, 3.0 between them. Both teams scoring is 59% and three or more goals is 57%.
On shots, our forecast is 16.3 for Zulte-Waregem and 12.8 for Antwerp, with 4.8 and 4.3 on target, and corners at 5.2 to 4.8. So we expect Zulte-Waregem to do more of the shooting. Snayder Porozo is the player we expect to shoot most: 2.2 shots and 1.0 on target for Antwerp, if they start. For cards, Farouck Adekami (Antwerp) has been booked once every 2 games in 2025/26, more often than anyone else here.
In their last six games Zulte-Waregem have one win, no draws and five defeats, while Antwerp have one win, no draws and five defeats. Both lost their most recent match. Bawler's pick for this game is Zulte-Waregem or Draw, Zulte-Waregem Over 12.5 Shots and Zulte-Waregem Over 2.5 Shots on Target. Our model gives all three landing together a 48% chance, which makes the fair price 11/10 (2.10).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
Zulte-Waregem or draw is 71% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27 and 2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Bawler's model rates this match: Zulte-Waregem are favoured (46% win probability vs 29% for Antwerp, 25% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
Bawler's predicted score is Zulte-Waregem 2-1 Antwerp: the most likely score if Zulte-Waregem win, which is the likeliest result (46%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.2%. Expected total goals: 3.0.
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Zulte-Waregem 46%, the draw 25% and Antwerp 29%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 59% chance. That is based on Zulte-Waregem expecting 1.69 goals and Antwerp 1.30.
Bawler's model expects 3.0 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
Zulte-Waregem or Draw (71%), Zulte-Waregem Over 12.5 Shots (76%), Zulte-Waregem Over 2.5 Shots on Target (82%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 48% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.10). 18+, please gamble responsibly.