Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sat 10 Oct · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sat 10 Oct · 19:00 UK
75Al Hilal win15Draw10Al Ittihad win
Full time
3–2

How it finished

Al Hilal beat Al Ittihad 3–2. Al Hilal had 16 shots (7 on target) to Al Ittihad's 8 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.2.

Al HilalFull-time statsAl Ittihad
48%Possession52%
2.3Expected goals (xG)1.2
16Shots8
7Shots on target5
11Shots inside box4
4Big chances2
9Corners4
3Saves4
14Fouls11
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards3
We predicted
2–0
Al Hilal to win · 9% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.8v0.9
3.7 in total
Both teams score
57%
Leans yes
3+ goals
71%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Al HilalAl HilalAl IttihadAl Ittihad
2.8Goals0.9
15.6Shots9.6
7.2On target4.2
5.4Corners3.9
Al HilalAl HilalAl IttihadAl Ittihad
1.5Goals0.4
7.6Shots4.4
3.5On target2.0
2.5Corners1.8
Al HilalAl HilalAl IttihadAl Ittihad
1.2Goals0.5
8.0Shots5.2
3.7On target2.2
2.9Corners2.1

What we said the chances were

Al Hilal to score94%
2 or more goals88%
Goal before half-time86%
Al Ittihad to score61%

First half — what we expected

Al Hilal
79%
to score before half-time
Al Ittihad
35%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Al HilalAl HilalAl IttihadAl Ittihad
58%7+ shots19%
36%9+ shots<10%
83%2+ shots on target56%
45%4+ shots on target16%
67%2+ corners50%
26%4+ corners14%

League position

Al Ittihad in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Al Hilal 1–1 Al Ittihad
Oct 2025Al Ittihad 0–2 Al Hilal
Feb 2025Al Ittihad 4–1 Al Hilal
Jan 2025Al Hilal 2–2 Al Ittihad
Sept 2024Al Hilal 3–1 Al Ittihad
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Hilal form →Al Ittihad form →

Common questions

Who won Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

Al Hilal beat Al Ittihad 3–2. Al Hilal had 16 shots (7 on target) to Al Ittihad's 8 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

Al Hilal 3–2 Al Ittihad, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Hilal 75%, the draw 15% and Al Ittihad 10%.

What were the stats in Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–1.2, Shots 16–8, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 4–2, Corners 9–4, Saves 3–4, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

Yes — both Al Hilal and Al Ittihad scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.