Al Hilal beat Al Ittihad 3–2. Al Hilal had 16 shots (7 on target) to Al Ittihad's 8 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Al Hilal beat Al Ittihad 3–2. Al Hilal had 16 shots (7 on target) to Al Ittihad's 8 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.2.
Al Hilal 3–2 Al Ittihad, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Hilal 75%, the draw 15% and Al Ittihad 10%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–1.2, Shots 16–8, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 4–2, Corners 9–4, Saves 3–4, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Yes — both Al Hilal and Al Ittihad scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.