Al Fateh vs Al Ahli prediction — Saudi Pro League · Fri 9 Oct · 15:55 UK

Saudi Pro League · Fri 9 Oct · 15:55 UK
16Al Fateh win21Draw63Al Ahli win
Full time
0–4

How it finished

Al Ahli beat Al Fateh 4–0. Al Fateh had 5 shots (1 on target) to Al Ahli's 17 (11), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.2.

Al FatehFull-time statsAl Ahli
38%Possession62%
0.4Expected goals (xG)2.2
5Shots17
1Shots on target11
4Shots inside box11
1Big chances6
3Corners4
7Saves1
20Fouls17
1Offsides1
4Yellow cards1
We predicted
1–2
Al Ahli to win · 10% for this exact score
Expected goals
1.1v2.2
3.3 in total
Both teams score
58%
Leans yes
3+ goals
64%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Al FatehAl FatehAl AhliAl Ahli
1.1Goals2.2
13.9Shots17.8
5.6On target7.2
4.6Corners5.0
Al FatehAl FatehAl AhliAl Ahli
0.3Goals1.0
6.2Shots8.0
2.4On target3.4
2.1Corners2.3
Al FatehAl FatehAl AhliAl Ahli
0.7Goals1.2
7.7Shots9.7
3.2On target3.9
2.4Corners2.6

What we said the chances were

Al Ahli to score89%
2 or more goals84%
Goal before half-time74%
Al Fateh to score65%

First half — what we expected

Al Fateh
28%
to score before half-time
Al Ahli
65%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Al FatehAl FatehAl AhliAl Ahli
41%7+ shots63%
21%9+ shots41%
64%2+ shots on target81%
23%4+ shots on target42%
84%1+ corners86%
35%3+ corners40%

League position

Al Ahli in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2026Al Ahli 3–1 Al Fateh FC
Dec 2025Al Fateh FC 2–1 Al Ahli
Feb 2025Al Ahli 2–0 Al Fateh FC
Aug 2024Al Fateh FC 1–0 Al Ahli
Mar 2024Al Ahli 1–1 Al Fateh FC
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Fateh form →Al Ahli form →

Common questions

Who won Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?

Al Ahli beat Al Fateh 4–0. Al Fateh had 5 shots (1 on target) to Al Ahli's 17 (11), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.2.

What was the final score in Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?

Al Fateh 0–4 Al Ahli, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Fateh 16%, the draw 21% and Al Ahli 63%.

What were the stats in Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–2.2, Shots 5–17, Shots on target 1–11, Shots inside box 4–11, Big chances 1–6, Corners 3–4, Saves 7–1, Fouls 20–17, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 4–1.

Did both teams score in Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?

No. It finished 0–4, so Al Fateh failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.