How it finished
Al Diriyah and Al Kholood drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Kholood at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Diriyah had 10 shots (1 on target) to Al Kholood's 9 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood?
Al Diriyah and Al Kholood drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Kholood at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Diriyah had 10 shots (1 on target) to Al Kholood's 9 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood?
Al Diriyah 1–1 Al Kholood, played on 26 Aug 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Diriyah 18%, the draw 23% and Al Kholood 59%.
What were the stats in Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.4, Shots 10–9, Shots on target 1–4, Shots inside box 6–9, Big chances 1–4, Corners 8–1, Saves 3–0, Fouls 14–10, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 0–3.
Did both teams score in Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood?
Yes — both Al Diriyah and Al Kholood scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Kholood or draw 82%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes.