Ajax Amsterdam beat FC Sion 5–3. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 8. Ajax Amsterdam had 26 shots (15 on target) to FC Sion's 11 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 4.6 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Ajax Amsterdam beat FC Sion 5–3. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 8. Ajax Amsterdam had 26 shots (15 on target) to FC Sion's 11 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 4.6 to 0.9.
Ajax Amsterdam 5–3 FC Sion, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ajax Amsterdam 56%, the draw 23% and FC Sion 21%.
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 4.6–0.9, Shots 26–11, Shots on target 15–4, Shots inside box 22–6, Big chances 8–3, Corners 5–2, Saves 1–9, Fouls 5–7, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 0–2.
Yes — both Ajax Amsterdam and FC Sion scored, finishing 5–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ajax Amsterdam or draw 79%, it finished Ajax Amsterdam won (56% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 8; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.