Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Sion prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:00 UK
Ajax Amsterdam 56Draw 23FC Sion 21
Our call before kickoff
79%
Ajax Amsterdam or draw
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–3
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
62%

How it finished

Ajax Amsterdam beat FC Sion 5–3. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 8. Ajax Amsterdam had 26 shots (15 on target) to FC Sion's 11 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 4.6 to 0.9.

Ajax…Full-time statsFC Sion
55%Possession45%
4.6Expected goals (xG)0.9
26Shots11
15Shots on target4
22Shots inside box6
8Big chances3
5Corners2
1Saves9
5Fouls7
2Offsides3
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAjax Amsterdam or draw 79%Ajax Amsterdam won (56% called)
Total goals3.28
Both teams to score60%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 83%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Ajax AmsterdamFC Sion
2.0
Goals+0.8
1.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Ajax Amsterdam to score87%
Over 1.5 goals83%
FC Sion to score69%
Over 2.5 goals62%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Sion?

Ajax Amsterdam beat FC Sion 5–3. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 8. Ajax Amsterdam had 26 shots (15 on target) to FC Sion's 11 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 4.6 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Sion?

Ajax Amsterdam 5–3 FC Sion, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ajax Amsterdam 56%, the draw 23% and FC Sion 21%.

What were the stats in Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Sion?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 4.6–0.9, Shots 26–11, Shots on target 15–4, Shots inside box 22–6, Big chances 8–3, Corners 5–2, Saves 1–9, Fouls 5–7, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Sion?

Yes — both Ajax Amsterdam and FC Sion scored, finishing 5–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Sion right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ajax Amsterdam or draw 79%, it finished Ajax Amsterdam won (56% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 8; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →Ajax Amsterdam form →FC Sion form →