What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Sion?
Bawler's model rates this match: Ajax Amsterdam are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for FC Sion, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Sion?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Ajax Amsterdam 1-1 FC Sion (11.6% probability). Expected total goals: 3.50.
How does Bawler predict Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Sion?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Ajax Amsterdam 40%, the draw 28% and FC Sion 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Sion?
BTTS: Yes (68% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.85 and away expected goals 1.65.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Sion?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.50. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).