ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 16 Aug · 11:15 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 16 Aug · 11:15 UK
ADO Den Haag 41Draw 30FC Groningen 29
The call
86%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–4

How it finished

FC Groningen beat ADO Den Haag 4–1. Bawler's model favoured ADO Den Haag at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Groningen 29%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. ADO Den Haag had 10 shots (4 on target) to FC Groningen's 17 (14), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 3.2.

ADO Den HaagFull-time statsFC Groningen
55%Possession45%
1.0Expected goals (xG)3.2
10Shots17
4Shots on target14
5Shots inside box14
2Big chances7
5Corners2
10Saves3
11Fouls11
0Offsides3
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultADO Den Haag 41%FC Groningen (29% called)
Total goals2.95
Both teams to score58%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 86%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
ADO Den Haag to score79%
Over 1.5 goals78%
FC Groningen to score73%
Under 3.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ADO 1 · D 1 · GRO 3
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Mar 2024ADO Den Haag 0–2 FC Groningen
Sept 2023FC Groningen 0–1 ADO Den Haag
Jan 2021FC Groningen 3–0 ADO Den Haag
Sept 2020ADO Den Haag 0–1 FC Groningen
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen?

FC Groningen beat ADO Den Haag 4–1. Bawler's model favoured ADO Den Haag at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Groningen 29%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. ADO Den Haag had 10 shots (4 on target) to FC Groningen's 17 (14), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 3.2.

What was the final score in ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen?

ADO Den Haag 1–4 FC Groningen, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with ADO Den Haag 41%, the draw 30% and FC Groningen 29%.

What were the stats in ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–3.2, Shots 10–17, Shots on target 4–14, Shots inside box 5–14, Big chances 2–7, Corners 5–2, Saves 10–3, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen?

Yes — both ADO Den Haag and FC Groningen scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said ADO Den Haag 41%, it finished FC Groningen (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 86%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →ADO Den Haag form →FC Groningen form →