FC Groningen beat ADO Den Haag 4–1. Bawler's model favoured ADO Den Haag at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Groningen 29%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. ADO Den Haag had 10 shots (4 on target) to FC Groningen's 17 (14), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 3.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
FC Groningen beat ADO Den Haag 4–1. Bawler's model favoured ADO Den Haag at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Groningen 29%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. ADO Den Haag had 10 shots (4 on target) to FC Groningen's 17 (14), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 3.2.
ADO Den Haag 1–4 FC Groningen, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with ADO Den Haag 41%, the draw 30% and FC Groningen 29%.
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–3.2, Shots 10–17, Shots on target 4–14, Shots inside box 5–14, Big chances 2–7, Corners 5–2, Saves 10–3, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 0–1.
Yes — both ADO Den Haag and FC Groningen scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said ADO Den Haag 41%, it finished FC Groningen (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 86%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Landed.