What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Saudi Arabia · last 6
Uzbekistan · last 6
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Saudi Arabia or draw is 73% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who will win Saudi Arabia vs Uzbekistan?
Bawler's model rates this match: Saudi Arabia are favoured (46% win probability vs 27% for Uzbekistan, 27% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Saudi Arabia vs Uzbekistan?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uzbekistan (12.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.6.
How does Bawler predict Saudi Arabia vs Uzbekistan?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Saudi Arabia 46%, the draw 27% and Uzbekistan 27%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Saudi Arabia vs Uzbekistan?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 53% chance. That is based on Saudi Arabia expecting 1.54 goals and Uzbekistan 1.11.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Saudi Arabia vs Uzbekistan?
Bawler's model expects 2.6 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 49%.