Bawler / World: World Cup / Uzbekistan
Team profile · World: World Cup

Uzbekistan Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
4
4 settled
Goals for
1.07
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.65
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
75%
3/4 calls

Uzbekistan prediction: Bawler's model rates Uzbekistan at 1.07 expected goals scored and 1.65 conceded per match across 4 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 75% of the time. They have lost their last 4 settled matches. No Uzbekistan fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Uzbekistan are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.65 expected goals a game against a World Cup average of 1.38. Recent form is poor — 4 defeats in a row. Across 4 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Uzbekistan have been correct 75% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 4 settled results, most recent first.

Record
0W 0D 4L
Real goals
0.8 – 3.3
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Uzbekistan compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.07
Below average
Goals against
1.65
Leakier than most
Scored1.07
Conceded1.65

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.07 xG per match · -0.26 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.65 xG per match · +0.27 vs league average of 1.38.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Uzbekistan fixtures (3/3).
4-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

📊 Uzbekistan in numbers

3 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.7
Goals · per game
let in 3.7
🏠 1.0✈️ 0.5
3.0
Corners · per game
give up 2.5
✈️ 3.0
5.5
Shots · per game
faced 18.0
✈️ 5.5
1.5
On target · per game
faced 6.5
✈️ 1.5
🗓️ Last 3 games
27 Jun
1-3
@ Congo DR
🚩 4-2
23 Jun
0-5
@ Portugal
🚩 2-3
18 Jun
1-3
vs Colombia
🚩 -

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Recent matches (last 4)

Uzbekistan prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly