How it finished
Denmark beat Wales 1–0. Wales had 5 shots (1 on target) to Denmark's 13 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.2.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Wales vs Denmark?
Denmark beat Wales 1–0. Wales had 5 shots (1 on target) to Denmark's 13 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.2.
What was the final score in Wales vs Denmark?
Wales 0–1 Denmark, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Wales 18%, the draw 22% and Denmark 60%.
What were the stats in Wales vs Denmark?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–2.2, Shots 5–13, Shots on target 1–4, Shots inside box 3–10, Big chances 0–4, Corners 3–3, Saves 3–1, Fouls 11–9, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 3–0.
Did both teams score in Wales vs Denmark?
No. It finished 0–1, so Wales failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.