What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Viktoria Plzen vs Red Star Belgrade?
Bawler's model rates this match: Viktoria Plzen are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Red Star Belgrade, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Viktoria Plzen vs Red Star Belgrade?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Red Star Belgrade (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.
How does Bawler predict Viktoria Plzen vs Red Star Belgrade?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Viktoria Plzen 40%, the draw 28% and Red Star Belgrade 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Viktoria Plzen vs Red Star Belgrade?
BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Viktoria Plzen vs Red Star Belgrade?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).