Viktoria Plzen vs Red Star Belgrade prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 18:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 18:00 UK
Viktoria Plzen 42Draw 28Red Star Belgrade 30
Our call before kickoff
70%
Viktoria Plzen or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
51%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
47%

How it finished

Viktoria Plzen beat Red Star Belgrade 5–1. Bawler's model had Viktoria Plzen in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 6. Viktoria Plzen had 41 shots (12 on target) to Red Star Belgrade's 8 (2).

Viktoria…Full-time statsRed Star…
41Shots8
12Shots on target2
8Corners3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callViktoria Plzen or draw 70%Viktoria Plzen won (42% called)
Total goals2.66
Both teams to score51%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 72%Landed
Second pickUnder 2.5 goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Viktoria PlzenRed Star Belgrade
1.4
Goals+0.3
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Viktoria Plzen to score75%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Red Star Belgrade to score68%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Red Star Belgrade in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Viktoria Plzen vs Red Star Belgrade?

Viktoria Plzen beat Red Star Belgrade 5–1. Bawler's model had Viktoria Plzen in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 6. Viktoria Plzen had 41 shots (12 on target) to Red Star Belgrade's 8 (2).

What was the final score in Viktoria Plzen vs Red Star Belgrade?

Viktoria Plzen 5–1 Red Star Belgrade, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Viktoria Plzen 42%, the draw 28% and Red Star Belgrade 30%.

What were the stats in Viktoria Plzen vs Red Star Belgrade?

Full-time: Shots 41–8, Shots on target 12–2, Corners 8–3.

Did both teams score in Viktoria Plzen vs Red Star Belgrade?

Yes — both Viktoria Plzen and Red Star Belgrade scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Viktoria Plzen vs Red Star Belgrade right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Viktoria Plzen or draw 70%, it finished Viktoria Plzen won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 72%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Viktoria Plzen form →Red Star Belgrade form →