Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelAn open game: both sides to score, with John Yeboah and Federico Bernardeschi both getting shots away.
Venezia v Bologna prediction
Our model gives Venezia 30%, the draw 26% and Bologna 44%, so Bologna start as favourites. Our predicted score is Venezia 1–2 Bologna, the likeliest Bologna win score (9%). Venezia are expected to score 1.3 goals and Bologna 1.6, 2.9 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (58%) and three or more goals is 56%.
On form, Venezia have two wins, no draws and four defeats from their last six games, and Bologna have five wins, no draws and one defeat. We expect Venezia to have 12.3 shots (4.3 on target) and Bologna 16.4 (5.4 on target), and corners at 4.2 to 5.0. That points to Bologna doing more of the attacking.
Of their last four meetings on our records, Venezia and Bologna have two wins each. The last meeting ended Venezia 0–1 Bologna, in Mar 2025. Of the players, Federico Bernardeschi (Bologna) tops both our lists, with 3.3 shots and 1.2 on target expected if they start. Joël Schingtienne of Venezia is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. Bawler's pick combines Both Teams to Score, Over 23.5 Total Shots, John Yeboah 1+ Shot and Federico Bernardeschi 1+ Shot. We make the chance of all four coming in 48%, a fair price of 11/10 (2.07).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Venezia · last 6
Bologna · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Bologna or draw is 70% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Serie A table →Common questions
Who will win Venezia vs Bologna?
Bawler's model rates this match: Bologna are favoured (44% win probability vs 30% for Venezia, 26% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Bologna?
Bawler's predicted score is Venezia 1-2 Bologna: the most likely score if Bologna win, which is the likeliest result (44%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.0%. Expected total goals: 2.9.
How does Bawler predict Venezia vs Bologna?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Venezia 30%, the draw 26% and Bologna 44%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Venezia vs Bologna?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 58% chance. That is based on Venezia expecting 1.30 goals and Bologna 1.62.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Venezia vs Bologna?
Bawler's model expects 2.9 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 56%.
When are the Venezia v Bologna line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Venezia v Bologna?
Both Teams to Score (58%), Over 23.5 Total Shots (80%), John Yeboah 1+ Shot (87%), Federico Bernardeschi 1+ Shot (93%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 48% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.07). 18+, please gamble responsibly.