FT · Italy: Serie A · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Parma 1–2 BolognaMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Bologna or Draw✓
Bologna Over 10.5 Shots✓
Federico Bernardeschi 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Parma win
25%
Draw
28%
Bologna win
47%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.0 – 1.4
Total 2.4
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 3.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 2.4.