We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if United States win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)Expected goals
1.8v1.1
3.0 in totalBoth teams score
57%
Leans yes3+ goals
57%
Leans likelyWhat we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
1.8Goals1.1
0.8Goals0.5
1.0Goals0.6
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
United States to score84%
2 or more goals79%
Goal before half-time73%
Canada to score68%
3 goals or fewer66%
First half — what we expected
55%
to score before half-time
40%
to score before half-time
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won United States vs Canada?
United States beat Canada 1–0.
What was the final score in United States vs Canada?
United States 1–0 Canada, played on 07 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with United States 52%, the draw 24% and Canada 23%.
Did both teams score in United States vs Canada?
No. It finished 1–0, so Canada failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.