FT · World: International Friendly · Saturday, 26 September 2026

United States 4–1 PeruMatch recap · Saturday, 26 September 2026

United States
4–1
United States win
Peru

Pre-match probability vs result

United States win
78%
Result
Draw
14%
Peru win
8%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.9 – 0.9
Total 3.8
Actual
4 – 1
Total 5 (+1.2 against our forecast)

The match produced 1.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

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