Bawler / World: World Cup / Canada
Team profile · World: World Cup

Canada Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.35
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.29
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
5/6 calls

Canada prediction: Bawler's model rates Canada at 1.35 expected goals scored and 1.29 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 83% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No Canada fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Canada sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.35 expected goals a game and conceding 1.29. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.67 a game against 1.35 expected. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Canada have been correct 83% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 2D 2L
Real goals
1.7 – 1.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Canada compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.35
Above average
Goals against
1.29
Tighter than most
Scored1.35
Conceded1.29

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Canada fixtures (3/4).

📊 Canada in numbers

5 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
🏠 2.3✈️ 1.0
10.3
Corners · per game
give up 1.3
🏠 15.0✈️ 5.5
16.8
Shots · per game
faced 4.8
🏠 21.0✈️ 12.5
6.8
On target · per game
faced 2.3
🏠 6.5✈️ 7.0
🗓️ Last 5 games
04 Jul
0-3
vs Morocco
🚩 11-1
28 Jun
1-0
@ South Africa
🚩 4-1
24 Jun
1-2
@ Switzerland
🚩 7-2
18 Jun
6-0
vs Qatar
🚩 19-1
12 Jun
1-1
vs Bosnia-Herzegovina
🚩 -

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Canada matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Canada fixture, it is right 5 out of 6 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Canada by market
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4
Result100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Canada fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Canada matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Canada prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly