Trabzonspor vs Ferencvaros prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 18:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 18:00 UK
Trabzonspor 34Draw 28Ferencvaros 38
Our call before kickoff
66%
Ferencvaros or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
49%

How it finished

Ferencvaros beat Trabzonspor 1–0. Bawler's model had Ferencvaros in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Trabzonspor had 24 shots (3 on target) to Ferencvaros' 11 (4), with 66% of the ball against 34%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.0, so Trabzonspor created the better chances and still lost the game.

TrabzonsporFull-time statsFerencvaros
66%Possession34%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.0
24Shots11
3Shots on target4
13Shots inside box9
3Big chances3
7Corners5
3Saves3
3Fouls24
3Offsides3
0Yellow cards5
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFerencvaros or draw 66%Ferencvaros won (38% called)
Total goals2.61
Both teams to score54%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 74%Missed
Second pickUnder 2.5 goals 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

TrabzonsporFerencvaros
1.3
Goals+0.1
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Ferencvaros to score74%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Trabzonspor to score72%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Trabzonspor 1 · Draws 0 · Ferencvaros 1
Ferencvaros in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Nov 2022Trabzonspor 1–0 Ferencvaros
Sept 2022Ferencvaros 3–2 Trabzonspor
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Trabzonspor vs Ferencvaros?

Ferencvaros beat Trabzonspor 1–0. Bawler's model had Ferencvaros in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Trabzonspor had 24 shots (3 on target) to Ferencvaros' 11 (4), with 66% of the ball against 34%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.0, so Trabzonspor created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Trabzonspor vs Ferencvaros?

Trabzonspor 0–1 Ferencvaros, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Trabzonspor 34%, the draw 28% and Ferencvaros 38%.

What were the stats in Trabzonspor vs Ferencvaros?

Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.0, Shots 24–11, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 3–3, Corners 7–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 3–24, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 0–5, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Trabzonspor vs Ferencvaros?

No. It finished 0–1, so Trabzonspor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Trabzonspor vs Ferencvaros right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ferencvaros or draw 66%, it finished Ferencvaros won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Trabzonspor form →Ferencvaros form →