Ferencvaros beat Trabzonspor 1–0. Bawler's model had Ferencvaros in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Trabzonspor had 24 shots (3 on target) to Ferencvaros' 11 (4), with 66% of the ball against 34%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.0, so Trabzonspor created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Ferencvaros beat Trabzonspor 1–0. Bawler's model had Ferencvaros in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Trabzonspor had 24 shots (3 on target) to Ferencvaros' 11 (4), with 66% of the ball against 34%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.0, so Trabzonspor created the better chances and still lost the game.
Trabzonspor 0–1 Ferencvaros, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Trabzonspor 34%, the draw 28% and Ferencvaros 38%.
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.0, Shots 24–11, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 3–3, Corners 7–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 3–24, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 0–5, Red cards 1–0.
No. It finished 0–1, so Trabzonspor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ferencvaros or draw 66%, it finished Ferencvaros won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.