FT · Scotland: Scottish Prem · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Celtic 1–0 KilmarnockMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Celtic or Draw✓
Aaron Tshibola 1+ Foul Committed✓
Camilo Durán 1+ Shot on Target✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Celtic win
82%
Result
Draw
12%
Kilmarnock win
6%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
3.1 – 0.8
Total 4.0
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−3.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.2 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced 3.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.