Tobol Kostanay vs Partizan Belgrade prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 16:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 16:00 UK
Tobol Kostanay 40Draw 28Partizan Belgrade 32
The call
68%
Tobol Kostanay or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

Partizan Belgrade beat Tobol Kostanay 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Tobol Kostanay at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Partizan Belgrade 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Tobol Kostanay had 18 shots (4 on target) to Partizan Belgrade's 19 (11), with 55% of the ball against 45%.

Tobol…Full-time statsPartizan…
55%Possession45%
18Shots19
4Shots on target11
11Corners10
12Fouls10
3Offsides2
1Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultTobol Kostanay 40%Partizan Belgrade (32% called)
Total goals2.53
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callTobol Kostanay or Draw 68%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Tobol Kostanay to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Partizan Belgrade to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Tobol Kostanay vs Partizan Belgrade?

Partizan Belgrade beat Tobol Kostanay 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Tobol Kostanay at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Partizan Belgrade 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Tobol Kostanay had 18 shots (4 on target) to Partizan Belgrade's 19 (11), with 55% of the ball against 45%.

What was the final score in Tobol Kostanay vs Partizan Belgrade?

Tobol Kostanay 1–2 Partizan Belgrade, played on 13 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Tobol Kostanay 40%, the draw 28% and Partizan Belgrade 32%.

What were the stats in Tobol Kostanay vs Partizan Belgrade?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Shots 18–19, Shots on target 4–11, Corners 11–10, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in Tobol Kostanay vs Partizan Belgrade?

Yes — both Tobol Kostanay and Partizan Belgrade scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Tobol Kostanay vs Partizan Belgrade right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Tobol Kostanay 40%, it finished Partizan Belgrade (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Tobol Kostanay or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Tobol Kostanay
Before this
6 AugAPartizan Belgrade0–3 L
All fixtures & results →Tobol Kostanay form →Partizan Belgrade form →