FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 13 August 2026

Tobol Kostanay 12 Partizan BelgradeMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Thursday, 13 August 2026

Tobol Kostanay
12
Partizan Belgrade win
Partizan Belgrade
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean

Pre-match, Bawler had Tobol Kostanay at 40%, draw at 28%, Partizan Belgrade at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-2. The model's headline call was Tobol Kostanay to win.

> Pre-match probability vs result
Kostanay win
40%
Draw
28%
Belgrade win
32%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Tobol Kostanay or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost

> More from Bawler