Stoke City vs Oldham Athletic prediction — EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK

EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK
Stoke City 40Draw 28Oldham Athletic 32
The call
68%
Stoke City or draw
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

Stoke City beat Oldham Athletic 2–0. Bawler's model had Stoke City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Stoke City had 11 shots (3 on target) to Oldham Athletic's 9 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.0.

Stoke CityFull-time statsOldham…
59%Possession41%
1.6Expected goals (xG)1.0
11Shots9
3Shots on target5
9Shots inside box9
3Big chances3
3Corners3
5Saves2
14Fouls11
4Offsides2
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultStoke City 40%Stoke City (40% called)
Total goals3.52
Both teams to score50%No
Model callStoke City or Draw 68%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
Stoke City to score84%
Oldham Athletic to score81%
Over 2.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Stoke City vs Oldham Athletic?

Stoke City beat Oldham Athletic 2–0. Bawler's model had Stoke City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Stoke City had 11 shots (3 on target) to Oldham Athletic's 9 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Stoke City vs Oldham Athletic?

Stoke City 2–0 Oldham Athletic, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stoke City 40%, the draw 28% and Oldham Athletic 32%.

What were the stats in Stoke City vs Oldham Athletic?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.0, Shots 11–9, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 9–9, Big chances 3–3, Corners 3–3, Saves 5–2, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Stoke City vs Oldham Athletic?

No. It finished 2–0, so Oldham Athletic failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Stoke City vs Oldham Athletic right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Stoke City 40%, it finished Stoke City (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Stoke City or Draw 68%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
Oldham Athletic
All fixtures & results →Stoke City form →Oldham Athletic form →