Slovakia vs Moldova prediction — UEFA Nations League · Sat 26 Sept · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Sat 26 Sept · 19:45 UK
91Slovakia win7Draw2Moldova win
Full time
2–0

How it finished

Slovakia beat Moldova 2–0. Slovakia had 18 shots (3 on target) to Moldova's 8 (1), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.4.

SlovakiaFull-time statsMoldova
67%Possession33%
1.8Expected goals (xG)0.4
18Shots8
3Shots on target1
10Shots inside box4
1Big chances1
7Corners3
1Saves1
8Fouls12
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
We predicted
3–0
Slovakia to win · 13% for this exact score
Expected goals
3.6v0.5
4.1 in total
Both teams score
38%
No
3+ goals
78%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

SlovakiaSlovakiaMoldovaMoldova
3.6Goals0.5
SlovakiaSlovakiaMoldovaMoldova
1.6Goals0.2
SlovakiaSlovakiaMoldovaMoldova
2.0Goals0.3

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals92%
Goal before half-time84%

First half — what we expected

Slovakia
80%
to score before half-time
Moldova
19%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Slovakia form →Moldova form →

Common questions

Who won Slovakia vs Moldova?

Slovakia beat Moldova 2–0. Slovakia had 18 shots (3 on target) to Moldova's 8 (1), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.4.

What was the final score in Slovakia vs Moldova?

Slovakia 2–0 Moldova, played on 26 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Slovakia 91%, the draw 7% and Moldova 2%.

What were the stats in Slovakia vs Moldova?

Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.4, Shots 18–8, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 10–4, Big chances 1–1, Corners 7–3, Saves 1–1, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Slovakia vs Moldova?

No. It finished 2–0, so Moldova failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 38% before kickoff.