SK Brann vs PAOK prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 18:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 18:00 UK
SK Brann 42Draw 26PAOK 33
The call
80%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2

How it finished

SK Brann beat PAOK 3–2. Bawler's model had SK Brann in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. SK Brann had 9 shots (9 on target) to PAOK's 10 (6), with 69% of the ball against 31%.

SK BrannFull-time statsPAOK
69%Possession31%
9Shots10
9Shots on target6
12Corners1
12Fouls15
1Offsides4
2Yellow cards5
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSK Brann 42%SK Brann (42% called)
Total goals3.05
Both teams to score60%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals80%
SK Brann to score80%
PAOK to score75%
Under 3.5 goals65%

First half — what we expected

SK BrannBefore half-timePAOK
51%Chance to score57%
5.5Expected shots3.6
2.7Expected shots on target2.2
2.4Expected corners0.0
63%Chance of 5+ shots30%
33%Chance of 7+ shots9%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target64%
28%Chance of 4+ shots on target17%
89%Chance of 1+ corners4%
43%Chance of 3+ corners0%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 79%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Nov 2025PAOK Thessaloniki 1–1 Brann
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won SK Brann vs PAOK?

SK Brann beat PAOK 3–2. Bawler's model had SK Brann in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. SK Brann had 9 shots (9 on target) to PAOK's 10 (6), with 69% of the ball against 31%.

What was the final score in SK Brann vs PAOK?

SK Brann 3–2 PAOK, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with SK Brann 42%, the draw 26% and PAOK 33%.

What were the stats in SK Brann vs PAOK?

Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Shots 9–10, Shots on target 9–6, Corners 12–1, Fouls 12–15, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 2–5.

Did both teams score in SK Brann vs PAOK?

Yes — both SK Brann and PAOK scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for SK Brann vs PAOK right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said SK Brann 42%, it finished SK Brann (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →SK Brann form →PAOK form →