Sheffield Wednesday beat Bolton Wanderers 1–0. Bawler's model had Sheffield Wednesday in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Sheffield Wednesday had 13 shots (3 on target) to Bolton Wanderers' 11 (1), with 45% of the ball against 55%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.7, so Bolton Wanderers created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Sheffield Wednesday beat Bolton Wanderers 1–0. Bawler's model had Sheffield Wednesday in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Sheffield Wednesday had 13 shots (3 on target) to Bolton Wanderers' 11 (1), with 45% of the ball against 55%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.7, so Bolton Wanderers created the better chances and still lost the game.
Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Bolton Wanderers, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sheffield Wednesday 40%, the draw 28% and Bolton Wanderers 32%.
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.7, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 11–9, Big chances 2–2, Corners 6–5, Saves 1–2, Fouls 17–8, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 0–2, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so Bolton Wanderers failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Sheffield Wednesday 40%, it finished Sheffield Wednesday (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Sheffield Wednesday or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.