Sheffield Wednesday vs Bolton Wanderers prediction — EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK

EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK
Sheffield Wednesday 40Draw 28Bolton Wanderers 32
The call
68%
Sheffield Wednesday or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

Sheffield Wednesday beat Bolton Wanderers 1–0. Bawler's model had Sheffield Wednesday in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Sheffield Wednesday had 13 shots (3 on target) to Bolton Wanderers' 11 (1), with 45% of the ball against 55%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.7, so Bolton Wanderers created the better chances and still lost the game.

Sheffield…Full-time statsBolton…
45%Possession55%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.7
13Shots11
3Shots on target1
11Shots inside box9
2Big chances2
6Corners5
1Saves2
17Fouls8
4Offsides0
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSheffield Wednesday 40%Sheffield Wednesday (40% called)
Total goals2.51
Both teams to score50%No
Model callSheffield Wednesday or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Sheffield Wednesday to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Bolton Wanderers to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Sheffield Wednesday vs Bolton Wanderers?

Sheffield Wednesday beat Bolton Wanderers 1–0. Bawler's model had Sheffield Wednesday in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Sheffield Wednesday had 13 shots (3 on target) to Bolton Wanderers' 11 (1), with 45% of the ball against 55%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.7, so Bolton Wanderers created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Sheffield Wednesday vs Bolton Wanderers?

Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Bolton Wanderers, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sheffield Wednesday 40%, the draw 28% and Bolton Wanderers 32%.

What were the stats in Sheffield Wednesday vs Bolton Wanderers?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.7, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 11–9, Big chances 2–2, Corners 6–5, Saves 1–2, Fouls 17–8, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 0–2, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Sheffield Wednesday vs Bolton Wanderers?

No. It finished 1–0, so Bolton Wanderers failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sheffield Wednesday vs Bolton Wanderers right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Sheffield Wednesday 40%, it finished Sheffield Wednesday (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Sheffield Wednesday or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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25 AugHWolverhampton Wanderers0–2 L
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