Serbia vs Netherlands prediction — UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sept · 17:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sept · 17:00 UK
4Serbia win11Draw85Netherlands win
Full time
1–2

How it finished

Netherlands beat Serbia 2–1. Serbia had 11 shots (6 on target) to Netherlands' 25 (8), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.8.

SerbiaFull-time statsNetherlands
33%Possession67%
1.4Expected goals (xG)2.8
11Shots25
6Shots on target8
10Shots inside box15
4Big chances6
3Corners4
6Saves5
7Fouls10
4Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
We predicted
0–2
Netherlands to win · 13% for this exact score
Expected goals
0.5v2.9
3.4 in total
Both teams score
39%
No
3+ goals
67%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

SerbiaSerbiaNetherlandsNetherlands
0.5Goals2.9
SerbiaSerbiaNetherlandsNetherlands
0.2Goals1.3
SerbiaSerbiaNetherlandsNetherlands
0.3Goals1.6

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Netherlands to score95%
2 or more goals86%
Goal before half-time78%

First half — what we expected

Serbia
21%
to score before half-time
Netherlands
72%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Jun 2006Serbia 0–1 Netherlands
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Serbia form →Netherlands form →

Common questions

Who won Serbia vs Netherlands?

Netherlands beat Serbia 2–1. Serbia had 11 shots (6 on target) to Netherlands' 25 (8), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.8.

What was the final score in Serbia vs Netherlands?

Serbia 1–2 Netherlands, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Serbia 4%, the draw 11% and Netherlands 85%.

What were the stats in Serbia vs Netherlands?

Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.8, Shots 11–25, Shots on target 6–8, Shots inside box 10–15, Big chances 4–6, Corners 3–4, Saves 6–5, Fouls 7–10, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Serbia vs Netherlands?

Yes — both Serbia and Netherlands scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 39% before kickoff.