What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Serbia vs Greece?
Bawler's model rates this match: Greece are favoured (45% win probability vs 29% for Serbia, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Serbia vs Greece?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Serbia 1-1 Greece (11.9% probability). Expected total goals: 2.94.
How does Bawler predict Serbia vs Greece?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Serbia 29%, the draw 26% and Greece 45%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Serbia vs Greece?
BTTS: Yes (58% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.28 and away expected goals 1.66.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Serbia vs Greece?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.94. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).