How it finished
Greece beat Serbia 2–1. Bawler's model had Greece in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Serbia had 9 shots (4 on target) to Greece's 26 (9), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected from each side before kickoff, next to how they had been doing.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each card is drawn on one scale, so the two bars are directly comparable. “Above recent” means our forecast is higher than their average over the last six.
What we published
How likely we said the big moments were, before kickoff.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Serbia vs Greece?
Greece beat Serbia 2–1. Bawler's model had Greece in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Serbia had 9 shots (4 on target) to Greece's 26 (9), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.5.
What was the final score in Serbia vs Greece?
Serbia 1–2 Greece, played on 24 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Serbia 29%, the draw 25% and Greece 45%.
What were the stats in Serbia vs Greece?
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.5, Shots 9–26, Shots on target 4–9, Shots inside box 7–16, Big chances 4–3, Corners 2–6, Saves 7–3, Fouls 11–7, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Serbia vs Greece?
Yes — both Serbia and Greece scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Serbia vs Greece right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Greece or draw 71%, it finished Greece won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.