FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Sunday, 08 November 2026
SC Freiburg 2–0 1. FC Union BerlinMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
SC Freiburg or Draw✓
SC Freiburg Over 14.5 Shots✓
Igor Matanović 1+ Shot on Target✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
SC Freiburg win
58%
Result
Draw
24%
1. FC Union Berlin win
18%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.0
Total 2.8
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.3 – 0.4
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.