Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelRoyal Charleroi SC on top, and Aurélien Scheidler getting plenty of shots away.
Royal Charleroi SC v Waasland-Beveren prediction
Our model gives Royal Charleroi SC a 67% chance of winning this Belgian Pro League game. A Waasland-Beveren win is 13% and a draw 20%. Our predicted score is Royal Charleroi SC 2–0 Waasland-Beveren (11%), though no one exact score is likely on its own. Royal Charleroi SC are expected to score 2.2 goals and Waasland-Beveren 0.9, 3.1 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (53%) and three or more goals is 61%.
Of the players, Aurélien Scheidler (Royal Charleroi SC) tops both our lists, with 2.7 shots and 1.0 on target expected if they start. Jearl Margaritha of Waasland-Beveren is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. We expect Royal Charleroi SC to have 18.8 shots (6.7 on target) and Waasland-Beveren 10.1 (3.0 on target), and corners at 6.1 to 3.8. That points to Royal Charleroi SC doing more of the attacking.
On form, Royal Charleroi SC have five wins, no draws and one defeat from their last six games, and Waasland-Beveren have one win, one draw and four defeats. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Royal Charleroi SC or Draw, Royal Charleroi SC Over 14.5 Shots and Aurélien Scheidler 2+ Shots. The chance all three land is 51% on our numbers, so the fair price is 10/11, or 1.95.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Royal Charleroi SC · last 6
Waasland-Beveren · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Royal Charleroi SC to win is 67% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27 and 2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Jupiler Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win Royal Charleroi SC vs Waasland-Beveren?
Bawler's model rates this match: Royal Charleroi SC are favoured (67% win probability vs 13% for Waasland-Beveren, 20% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Royal Charleroi SC vs Waasland-Beveren?
Bawler's predicted score is Royal Charleroi SC 2-0 Waasland-Beveren: the most likely score if Royal Charleroi SC win, which is the likeliest result (67%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.9%. Expected total goals: 3.1.
How does Bawler predict Royal Charleroi SC vs Waasland-Beveren?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Royal Charleroi SC 67%, the draw 20% and Waasland-Beveren 13%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Royal Charleroi SC vs Waasland-Beveren?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 53% chance. That is based on Royal Charleroi SC expecting 2.25 goals and Waasland-Beveren 0.89.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Royal Charleroi SC vs Waasland-Beveren?
Bawler's model expects 3.1 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 61%.
When are the Royal Charleroi SC v Waasland-Beveren line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Royal Charleroi SC v Waasland-Beveren?
Royal Charleroi SC or Draw (87%), Royal Charleroi SC Over 14.5 Shots (77%), Aurélien Scheidler 2+ Shots (69%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 51% chance, a fair price of 10/11 (1.95). 18+, please gamble responsibly.