Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelRoyal Charleroi SC on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
Royal Charleroi SC v Sint-Truidense prediction
Royal Charleroi SC are favourites on our numbers: 59% to win, against 20% for Sint-Truidense and 21% for a draw. Our predicted score is Royal Charleroi SC 2–1 Sint-Truidense, at 9%. Royal Charleroi SC are expected to score 2.3 goals and Sint-Truidense 1.3, 3.6 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (65%) and three or more goals is 70%.
Nelson Ishiwatari of Sint-Truidense is the most booked player in either squad, about once a game in 2026/27. We expect Royal Charleroi SC to have 18.7 shots (6.1 on target) and Sint-Truidense 12.9 (4.3 on target), and corners at 5.1 to 3.7. That points to Royal Charleroi SC doing more of the attacking.
On form, Royal Charleroi SC have five wins, no draws and one defeat from their last six games, and Sint-Truidense have three wins, one draw and two defeats. Bawler's pick combines Royal Charleroi SC or Draw, Royal Charleroi SC Over 14.5 Shots, Royal Charleroi SC Over 3.5 Shots on Target and Royal Charleroi SC Over 2.5 Corners. We make the chance of all four coming in 46%, a fair price of 6/5 (2.18).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Royal Charleroi SC · last 6
Sint-Truidense · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Royal Charleroi SC or draw is 80% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Jupiler Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense?
Bawler's model rates this match: Royal Charleroi SC are favoured (59% win probability vs 20% for Sint-Truidense, 21% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense?
Bawler's predicted score is Royal Charleroi SC 2-1 Sint-Truidense: the most likely score if Royal Charleroi SC win, which is the likeliest result (59%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.3%. Expected total goals: 3.6.
How does Bawler predict Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Royal Charleroi SC 59%, the draw 21% and Sint-Truidense 20%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 65% chance. That is based on Royal Charleroi SC expecting 2.29 goals and Sint-Truidense 1.30.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense?
Bawler's model expects 3.6 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 70%.
When are the Royal Charleroi SC v Sint-Truidense line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Royal Charleroi SC v Sint-Truidense?
Royal Charleroi SC or Draw (80%), Royal Charleroi SC Over 14.5 Shots (77%), Royal Charleroi SC Over 3.5 Shots on Target (82%), Royal Charleroi SC Over 2.5 Corners (82%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 46% chance, a fair price of 6/5 (2.18). 18+, please gamble responsibly.