Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelKAA Gent on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
Waasland-Beveren v KAA Gent prediction
Our model gives Waasland-Beveren 26%, the draw 25% and KAA Gent 49%, so KAA Gent start as favourites. Our predicted score is Waasland-Beveren 1–2 KAA Gent: the most likely score if KAA Gent win, at 9%. Our expected goals are 1.2 for Waasland-Beveren and 1.7 for KAA Gent, 2.9 in all. Both sides are more likely than not to score (58%) and three or more goals is 56%.
Waasland-Beveren come in with one win, one draw and four defeats in their last six. KAA Gent have two wins, one draw and three defeats over the same run. Jearl Margaritha of Waasland-Beveren is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27.
We expect Waasland-Beveren to have 12.8 shots (4.6 on target) and KAA Gent 15.2 (4.0 on target), and corners at 4.6 to 5.6. For Bawler's pick we have gone with KAA Gent or Draw, KAA Gent Over 11.5 Shots, KAA Gent Over 1.5 Shots on Target and KAA Gent Over 2.5 Corners. The chance all four land is 47% on our numbers, so the fair price is 11/10, or 2.13.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Waasland-Beveren · last 6
KAA Gent · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
KAA Gent or draw is 74% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Jupiler Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win Waasland-Beveren vs KAA Gent?
Bawler's model rates this match: KAA Gent are favoured (49% win probability vs 26% for Waasland-Beveren, 25% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Waasland-Beveren vs KAA Gent?
Bawler's predicted score is Waasland-Beveren 1-2 KAA Gent: the most likely score if KAA Gent win, which is the likeliest result (49%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.4%. Expected total goals: 2.9.
How does Bawler predict Waasland-Beveren vs KAA Gent?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Waasland-Beveren 26%, the draw 25% and KAA Gent 49%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Waasland-Beveren vs KAA Gent?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 58% chance. That is based on Waasland-Beveren expecting 1.22 goals and KAA Gent 1.73.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Waasland-Beveren vs KAA Gent?
Bawler's model expects 2.9 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 56%.
When are the Waasland-Beveren v KAA Gent line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Waasland-Beveren v KAA Gent?
KAA Gent or Draw (74%), KAA Gent Over 11.5 Shots (76%), KAA Gent Over 1.5 Shots on Target (87%), KAA Gent Over 2.5 Corners (86%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 47% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.13). 18+, please gamble responsibly.