RB Salzburg vs Pafos prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 18:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 18:00 UK
RB Salzburg 40Draw 28Pafos 32
The call
68%
RB Salzburg or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

RB Salzburg beat Pafos 1–0. Bawler's model had RB Salzburg in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. RB Salzburg had 13 shots (3 on target) to Pafos' 7 (1), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.3.

RB SalzburgFull-time statsPafos
59%Possession41%
1.4Expected goals (xG)0.3
13Shots7
3Shots on target1
8Shots inside box4
3Big chances2
13Corners0
1Saves1
13Fouls11
1Offsides3
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultRB Salzburg 40%RB Salzburg (40% called)
Total goals2.51
Both teams to score50%No
Model callRB Salzburg or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
RB Salzburg to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Pafos to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won RB Salzburg vs Pafos?

RB Salzburg beat Pafos 1–0. Bawler's model had RB Salzburg in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. RB Salzburg had 13 shots (3 on target) to Pafos' 7 (1), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.3.

What was the final score in RB Salzburg vs Pafos?

RB Salzburg 1–0 Pafos, played on 06 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with RB Salzburg 40%, the draw 28% and Pafos 32%.

What were the stats in RB Salzburg vs Pafos?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.3, Shots 13–7, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 3–2, Corners 13–0, Saves 1–1, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 1–4, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in RB Salzburg vs Pafos?

No. It finished 1–0, so Pafos failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for RB Salzburg vs Pafos right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said RB Salzburg 40%, it finished RB Salzburg (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said RB Salzburg or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →RB Salzburg form →Pafos form →