Raków Czestochowa vs Hajduk Split prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 18:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 18:00 UK
Raków Czestochowa 44Draw 25Hajduk Split 31
Our call before kickoff
69%
Raków Czestochowa or draw
Missed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–3
Both teams score (before kick-off)
61%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Hajduk Split beat Raków Czestochowa 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Raków Czestochowa at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hajduk Split 31%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Raków Czestochowa had 20 shots (5 on target) to Hajduk Split's 12 (4), with 68% of the ball against 32%.

Raków…Full-time statsHajduk Split
68%Possession32%
20Shots12
5Shots on target4
5Corners4
1Saves3
13Fouls22
3Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callRaków Czestochowa or draw 69%Hajduk Split won (31% called)
Total goals3.15
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Raków CzestochowaHajduk Split
1.7
Goals+0.3
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Raków Czestochowa to score81%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Hajduk Split to score75%
Under 3.5 goals63%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Raków Czestochowa form (last 6)L L D W D L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Hajduk Split in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Raków Czestochowa vs Hajduk Split?

Hajduk Split beat Raków Czestochowa 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Raków Czestochowa at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hajduk Split 31%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Raków Czestochowa had 20 shots (5 on target) to Hajduk Split's 12 (4), with 68% of the ball against 32%.

What was the final score in Raków Czestochowa vs Hajduk Split?

Raków Czestochowa 2–3 Hajduk Split, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Raków Czestochowa 44%, the draw 25% and Hajduk Split 31%.

What were the stats in Raków Czestochowa vs Hajduk Split?

Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Shots 20–12, Shots on target 5–4, Corners 5–4, Saves 1–3, Fouls 13–22, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–2.

Was Bawler's prediction for Raków Czestochowa vs Hajduk Split right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Raków Czestochowa or draw 69%, it finished Hajduk Split won (31% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Raków Czestochowa
Before this
20 AugAHajduk Split2–2 D
All fixtures & results →Raków Czestochowa form →Hajduk Split form →