Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelToo close to call the result, so we back the game to be busy: shots, corners and efforts on target.
Queens Park Rangers v Sheffield United prediction
Our model makes Queens Park Rangers favourites for this Championship game, giving them a 43% chance of winning. Sheffield United are 30% and the draw is 26%. Our predicted score is Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Sheffield United: the most likely score if Queens Park Rangers win, at 9%. Our expected goals are 1.6 for Queens Park Rangers and 1.3 for Sheffield United, 2.8 in all. Both sides are more likely than not to score (57%) and three or more goals is 54%.
In their last six games Queens Park Rangers have three wins, one draw and two defeats, while Sheffield United have three wins, one draw and two defeats. Queens Park Rangers won their most recent match and Sheffield United lost theirs. Of their last five meetings on our records, Queens Park Rangers have won none, Sheffield United two, and three were drawn. The last meeting ended Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Sheffield United, in Feb 2026.
We expect Queens Park Rangers to have 15.9 shots (5.2 on target) and Sheffield United 11.4 (3.8 on target), and corners at 6.1 to 4.2. That points to Queens Park Rangers doing more of the attacking. Bawler's pick for this game is Over 22.5 Total Shots, Over 7.5 Total Corners and Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target. Our model gives all three landing together a 53% chance, which makes the fair price 10/11 (1.89).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Queens Park Rangers · last 6
Sheffield United · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Queens Park Rangers or draw is 70% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Championship table →Common questions
Who will win Queens Park Rangers vs Sheffield United?
Bawler's model rates this match: Queens Park Rangers are favoured (43% win probability vs 30% for Sheffield United, 26% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Queens Park Rangers vs Sheffield United?
Bawler's predicted score is Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Sheffield United: the most likely score if Queens Park Rangers win, which is the likeliest result (43%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.0%. Expected total goals: 2.8.
How does Bawler predict Queens Park Rangers vs Sheffield United?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Queens Park Rangers 43%, the draw 26% and Sheffield United 30%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Queens Park Rangers vs Sheffield United?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 57% chance. That is based on Queens Park Rangers expecting 1.57 goals and Sheffield United 1.28.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Queens Park Rangers vs Sheffield United?
Bawler's model expects 2.8 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 54%.
When are the Queens Park Rangers v Sheffield United line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Queens Park Rangers v Sheffield United?
Over 22.5 Total Shots (79%), Over 7.5 Total Corners (77%), Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target (77%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 53% chance, a fair price of 10/11 (1.89). 18+, please gamble responsibly.