Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelToo close to call the result, so we back the game to be busy: shots, corners and efforts on target.
Norwich City v Queens Park Rangers prediction
Norwich City are favourites on our numbers: 44% to win, against 30% for Queens Park Rangers and 26% for a draw. Our predicted score is Norwich City 2–1 Queens Park Rangers, the likeliest Norwich City win score (9%). We expect 2.9 goals in total: 1.6 for Norwich City and 1.3 for Queens Park Rangers. Both teams scoring is 59% and three or more goals is 56%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Norwich City have won two, Queens Park Rangers one, and two were drawn. When they last met, it finished Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Norwich City, in Jan 2026. On shots, our forecast is 15.1 for Norwich City and 11.1 for Queens Park Rangers, with 4.3 and 3.4 on target, and corners at 6.3 to 3.9. So we expect Norwich City to do more of the shooting.
On form, Norwich City have four wins, no draws and two defeats from their last six games, and Queens Park Rangers have three wins, one draw and two defeats. Bawler's pick for this game is Over 21.5 Total Shots, Over 7.5 Total Corners and Over 5.5 Total Shots on Target. Our model gives all three landing together a 54% chance, which makes the fair price 5/6 (1.85).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Norwich City · last 6
Queens Park Rangers · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Norwich City or draw is 70% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Championship table →Common questions
Who will win Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Bawler's model rates this match: Norwich City are favoured (44% win probability vs 30% for Queens Park Rangers, 26% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Bawler's predicted score is Norwich City 2-1 Queens Park Rangers: the most likely score if Norwich City win, which is the likeliest result (44%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.0%. Expected total goals: 2.9.
How does Bawler predict Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Norwich City 44%, the draw 26% and Queens Park Rangers 30%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 59% chance. That is based on Norwich City expecting 1.62 goals and Queens Park Rangers 1.31.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Bawler's model expects 2.9 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 56%.
When are the Norwich City v Queens Park Rangers line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Norwich City v Queens Park Rangers?
Over 21.5 Total Shots (79%), Over 7.5 Total Corners (76%), Over 5.5 Total Shots on Target (76%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 54% chance, a fair price of 5/6 (1.85). 18+, please gamble responsibly.