PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 23 Aug · 13:30 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 23 Aug · 13:30 UK
PSV Eindhoven 63Draw 19FC Groningen 17
The call
63%
PSV Eindhoven to win
3.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–1

How it finished

PSV Eindhoven beat FC Groningen 5–1. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 6. PSV Eindhoven had 24 shots (12 on target) to FC Groningen's 7 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 4.4 to 1.1.

PSV EindhovenFull-time statsFC Groningen
62%Possession38%
4.4Expected goals (xG)1.1
24Shots7
12Shots on target4
19Shots inside box7
9Big chances4
9Corners4
2Saves7
10Fouls4
0Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultPSV Eindhoven 63%PSV Eindhoven (63% called)
Total goals3.66
Both teams to score64%Yes
Model callHome Win 63%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
PSV Eindhoven to score91%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
FC Groningen to score70%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5PSV 5 · D 0 · GRO 0
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Feb 2026FC Groningen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven
Aug 2025PSV Eindhoven 4–2 FC Groningen
Apr 2025FC Groningen 1–3 PSV Eindhoven
Nov 2024PSV Eindhoven 5–0 FC Groningen
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen?

PSV Eindhoven beat FC Groningen 5–1. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 6. PSV Eindhoven had 24 shots (12 on target) to FC Groningen's 7 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 4.4 to 1.1.

What was the final score in PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen?

PSV Eindhoven 5–1 FC Groningen, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with PSV Eindhoven 63%, the draw 19% and FC Groningen 17%.

What were the stats in PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 4.4–1.1, Shots 24–7, Shots on target 12–4, Shots inside box 19–7, Big chances 9–4, Corners 9–4, Saves 2–7, Fouls 10–4, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen?

Yes — both PSV Eindhoven and FC Groningen scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said PSV Eindhoven 63%, it finished PSV Eindhoven (63% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Home Win 63%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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