How it finished
Portugal beat Wales 1–0. Portugal had 23 shots (5 on target) to Wales' 5 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.9.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Portugal vs Wales?
Portugal beat Wales 1–0. Portugal had 23 shots (5 on target) to Wales' 5 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.9.
What was the final score in Portugal vs Wales?
Portugal 1–0 Wales, played on 24 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Portugal 89%, the draw 9% and Wales 3%.
What were the stats in Portugal vs Wales?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.9, Shots 23–5, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 17–5, Big chances 1–2, Corners 10–2, Saves 0–4, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Portugal vs Wales?
No. It finished 1–0, so Wales failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 36% before kickoff.