Plymouth Argyle vs Coventry City prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK
Plymouth Argyle 40Draw 28Coventry City 32
The call
68%
Plymouth Argyle or draw
2.5
Goals expected
2d 00hUntil lineups lock

Three forecasts on this match

High
Plymouth Argyle or draw
68%
Medium
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Outside
Draw
28%

Every market the model rates

Plymouth Argyle or draw68%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS51%
Plymouth Argyle win to nil23%
Coventry City or draw60%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Correct score 1–113%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
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Common questions

Who will win Plymouth Argyle vs Coventry City?

Bawler's model rates this match: Plymouth Argyle are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Coventry City, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Plymouth Argyle vs Coventry City?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Coventry City (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.

How does Bawler predict Plymouth Argyle vs Coventry City?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Plymouth Argyle 40%, the draw 28% and Coventry City 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Plymouth Argyle vs Coventry City?

BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Plymouth Argyle vs Coventry City?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
Plymouth Argyle
Before this
10 AugHExeter City20 W
All fixtures & results →Plymouth Argyle form →Coventry City form →