Coventry City beat Plymouth Argyle 4–2. Bawler's model had Coventry City in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Plymouth Argyle had 11 shots (5 on target) to Coventry City's 12 (5), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Coventry City beat Plymouth Argyle 4–2. Bawler's model had Coventry City in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Plymouth Argyle had 11 shots (5 on target) to Coventry City's 12 (5), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.9.
Plymouth Argyle 2–4 Coventry City, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Plymouth Argyle 27%, the draw 25% and Coventry City 48%.
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–2.9, Shots 11–12, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 7–11, Big chances 2–5, Corners 3–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 22–13, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both Plymouth Argyle and Coventry City scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Coventry City or draw 73%, it finished Coventry City won (48% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.