PAOK vs SK Brann prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 18:45 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 18:45 UK
PAOK 48Draw 25SK Brann 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
PAOK or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

PAOK and SK Brann drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured PAOK at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. PAOK had 23 shots (6 on target) to SK Brann's 6 (1), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.9.

PAOKFull-time statsSK Brann
43%Possession57%
2.2Expected goals (xG)0.9
23Shots6
6Shots on target1
14Shots inside box4
4Big chances2
8Corners3
0Saves6
5Fouls11
4Offsides1
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callPAOK or draw 74%Draw (25% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

PAOKSK Brann
1.7
Goals+0.5
1.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
PAOK to score82%
Over 1.5 goals79%
SK Brann to score70%
Under 3.5 goals67%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 1PAOK 0 · Draws 1 · SK Brann 0
SK Brann in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Nov 2025PAOK Thessaloniki 1–1 Brann
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won PAOK vs SK Brann?

PAOK and SK Brann drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured PAOK at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. PAOK had 23 shots (6 on target) to SK Brann's 6 (1), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.9.

What was the final score in PAOK vs SK Brann?

PAOK 1–1 SK Brann, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with PAOK 48%, the draw 25% and SK Brann 26%.

What were the stats in PAOK vs SK Brann?

Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.9, Shots 23–6, Shots on target 6–1, Shots inside box 14–4, Big chances 4–2, Corners 8–3, Saves 0–6, Fouls 5–11, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in PAOK vs SK Brann?

Yes — both PAOK and SK Brann scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for PAOK vs SK Brann right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said PAOK or draw 74%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →PAOK form →SK Brann form →