Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Wed 5 Aug · 19:30 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Wed 5 Aug · 19:30 UK
Panathinaikos 40Draw 28CSKA 1948 Sofia 32
The call
68%
Panathinaikos or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 Sofia drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Panathinaikos at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Panathinaikos had 14 shots (5 on target) to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 19 (2), with 64% of the ball against 36%.

PanathinaikosFull-time statsCSKA 1948…
64%Possession36%
14Shots19
5Shots on target2
8Corners7
10Fouls10
2Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultPanathinaikos 40%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callPanathinaikos or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Panathinaikos to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
CSKA 1948 Sofia to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 Sofia drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Panathinaikos at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Panathinaikos had 14 shots (5 on target) to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 19 (2), with 64% of the ball against 36%.

What was the final score in Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Panathinaikos 1–1 CSKA 1948 Sofia, played on 05 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Panathinaikos 40%, the draw 28% and CSKA 1948 Sofia 32%.

What were the stats in Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Shots 14–19, Shots on target 5–2, Corners 8–7, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Yes — both Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 Sofia scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Panathinaikos 40%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Panathinaikos or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

CSKA 1948 Sofia
Next up
11 AugHPanathinaikos1–2 L
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