Norwich City vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction — EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK

EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK
Norwich City 40Draw 28Milton Keynes Dons 32
The call
68%
Norwich City or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–1

How it finished

Norwich City beat Milton Keynes Dons 4–1. Bawler's model had Norwich City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 5. Norwich City had 25 shots (7 on target) to Milton Keynes Dons' 8 (5), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.1.

Norwich CityFull-time statsMilton Keynes…
65%Possession35%
2.6Expected goals (xG)1.1
25Shots8
7Shots on target5
18Shots inside box6
7Big chances3
7Corners3
3Saves2
11Fouls13
2Offsides1
4Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultNorwich City 40%Norwich City (40% called)
Total goals2.55
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callNorwich City or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Norwich City to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Milton Keynes Dons to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
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Common questions

Who won Norwich City vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Norwich City beat Milton Keynes Dons 4–1. Bawler's model had Norwich City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 5. Norwich City had 25 shots (7 on target) to Milton Keynes Dons' 8 (5), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Norwich City vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Norwich City 4–1 Milton Keynes Dons, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Norwich City 40%, the draw 28% and Milton Keynes Dons 32%.

What were the stats in Norwich City vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–1.1, Shots 25–8, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 18–6, Big chances 7–3, Corners 7–3, Saves 3–2, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 4–1.

Did both teams score in Norwich City vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Yes — both Norwich City and Milton Keynes Dons scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Norwich City vs Milton Keynes Dons right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Norwich City 40%, it finished Norwich City (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Norwich City or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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Milton Keynes Dons
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