What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Netherlands vs Germany?
Bawler's model rates this match: Germany are favoured (39% win probability vs 37% for Netherlands, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Netherlands vs Germany?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Netherlands 1-1 Germany (10.2% probability). Expected total goals: 3.40.
How does Bawler predict Netherlands vs Germany?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Netherlands 37%, the draw 24% and Germany 39%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Netherlands vs Germany?
BTTS: Yes (67% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.67 and away expected goals 1.73.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Netherlands vs Germany?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.40. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).