Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelNeom SC on top, and Saïd Benrahma getting plenty of shots away.
Neom SC v Al Kholood prediction
Our model makes Neom SC favourites for this Saudi Pro League game, giving them a 52% chance of winning. Al Kholood are 23% and the draw is 25%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Neom SC 1–0 Al Kholood, the most likely Neom SC win (10%). We expect 2.9 goals in total: 1.8 for Neom SC and 1.1 for Al Kholood. Both sides are more likely than not to score (56%) and three or more goals is 55%.
On form, Neom SC have three wins, one draw and two defeats from their last six games, and Al Kholood have one win, no draws and five defeats. Muhannad Al Saad of Neom SC is the most booked player in either squad, once every 3 games in 2026/27.
We expect Neom SC to have 15.3 shots (4.9 on target) and Al Kholood 11.4 (3.9 on target), and corners at 5.0 to 3.3. That points to Neom SC doing more of the attacking. Of their last two meetings on our records, Neom SC and Al Kholood have one win each. The last meeting ended Neom SC 1–2 Al Kholood, in Feb 2026. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Neom SC or Draw, Neom SC Over 11.5 Shots and Saïd Benrahma 2+ Shots. The chance all three land is 53% on our numbers, so the fair price is 10/11, or 1.89.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Neom SC · last 6
Al Kholood · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Neom SC or draw is 77% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Saudi Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win Neom SC vs Al Kholood?
Bawler's model rates this match: Neom SC are favoured (52% win probability vs 23% for Al Kholood, 25% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Neom SC vs Al Kholood?
Bawler's predicted score is Neom SC 1-0 Al Kholood: the most likely score if Neom SC win, which is the likeliest result (52%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.7%. Expected total goals: 2.9.
How does Bawler predict Neom SC vs Al Kholood?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Neom SC 52%, the draw 25% and Al Kholood 23%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Neom SC vs Al Kholood?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 56% chance. That is based on Neom SC expecting 1.78 goals and Al Kholood 1.11.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Neom SC vs Al Kholood?
Bawler's model expects 2.9 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 55%.
When are the Neom SC v Al Kholood line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Neom SC v Al Kholood?
Neom SC or Draw (77%), Neom SC Over 11.5 Shots (77%), Saïd Benrahma 2+ Shots (82%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 53% chance, a fair price of 10/11 (1.89). 18+, please gamble responsibly.