Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelToo close to call the result, so we back the game to be busy: shots, corners and efforts on target.
Lommel SK v Zulte-Waregem prediction
There is little between the sides in this Belgian Pro League game. Zulte-Waregem edge it at 38%, Lommel SK are 36% and a draw is 26%. Our predicted score is Lommel SK 1–2 Zulte-Waregem: the most likely score if Zulte-Waregem win, at 8%. We expect 2.9 goals in total: 1.4 for Lommel SK and 1.5 for Zulte-Waregem. Both sides are more likely than not to score (59%) and three or more goals is 56%.
Lommel SK come in with two wins, three draws and one defeat in their last six. Zulte-Waregem have one win, no draws and five defeats over the same run. We expect Lommel SK to have 13.5 shots (4.9 on target) and Zulte-Waregem 15.0 (4.6 on target), and corners at 5.0 to 5.1.
Of the players, Don-Angelo Konadu (Lommel SK) tops both our lists, with 2.7 shots and 1.0 on target expected if they start. Franz Tangala of Zulte-Waregem is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. Of their last five meetings on our records, Lommel SK have won three, Zulte-Waregem one, and one was drawn. The last meeting ended Zulte Waregem 0–1 Lommel, in Mar 2025. Bawler's pick combines Over 23.5 Total Shots, Over 6.5 Total Corners and Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target. We make the chance of all three coming in 62%, a fair price of 8/13 (1.62).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Lommel SK · last 6
Zulte-Waregem · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Zulte-Waregem or draw is 64% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27 and 2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Jupiler Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem?
Bawler's model rates this match: Zulte-Waregem are favoured (38% win probability vs 36% for Lommel SK, 26% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem?
Bawler's predicted score is Lommel SK 1-2 Zulte-Waregem: the most likely score if Zulte-Waregem win, which is the likeliest result (38%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.3%. Expected total goals: 2.9.
How does Bawler predict Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Lommel SK 36%, the draw 26% and Zulte-Waregem 38%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 59% chance. That is based on Lommel SK expecting 1.45 goals and Zulte-Waregem 1.48.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem?
Bawler's model expects 2.9 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 56%.
When are the Lommel SK v Zulte-Waregem line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Lommel SK v Zulte-Waregem?
Over 23.5 Total Shots (79%), Over 6.5 Total Corners (85%), Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target (82%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 62% chance, a fair price of 8/13 (1.62). 18+, please gamble responsibly.