Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 17:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 17:00 UK
Lincoln Red Imps 50Draw 27Larne 23
Our call before kickoff
77%
Lincoln Red Imps or draw
Missed
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
49%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
47%

How it finished

Larne beat Lincoln Red Imps 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Lincoln Red Imps at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Larne 23%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Lincoln Red Imps had 6 shots (3 on target) to Larne's 12 (7), with 42% of the ball against 58%.

Lincoln Red…Full-time statsLarne
42%Possession58%
6Shots12
3Shots on target7
3Corners9
10Fouls16
0Offsides3
2Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLincoln Red Imps or draw 77%Larne won (23% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score49%No
Second pickUnder 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Lincoln Red ImpsLarne
1.6
Goals+0.6
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Lincoln Red Imps to score79%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Larne to score62%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Lincoln Red Imps 1 · Draws 0 · Larne 1

Head to head

Aug 2024Larne 3–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC
Aug 2024Lincoln Red Imps FC 2–1 Larne
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne?

Larne beat Lincoln Red Imps 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Lincoln Red Imps at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Larne 23%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Lincoln Red Imps had 6 shots (3 on target) to Larne's 12 (7), with 42% of the ball against 58%.

What was the final score in Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne?

Lincoln Red Imps 0–2 Larne, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lincoln Red Imps 50%, the draw 27% and Larne 23%.

What were the stats in Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne?

Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Shots 6–12, Shots on target 3–7, Corners 3–9, Fouls 10–16, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–4, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne?

No. It finished 0–2, so Lincoln Red Imps failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lincoln Red Imps or draw 77%, it finished Larne won (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Lincoln Red Imps form →Larne form →