Lillestrom vs Torreense prediction — Europa League · Thu 17 Sept · 20:00 UK

Europa League · Thu 17 Sept · 20:00 UK
Lillestrom 24Draw 25Torreense 52
The call
77%
Torreense or draw
2.9
Goals expected
13d 09hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Torreense to score83%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Lillestrom to score67%
Under 3.5 goals67%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L D D W L W
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.6 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
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Common questions

Who will win Lillestrom vs Torreense?

Bawler's model rates this match: Torreense are favoured (52% win probability vs 24% for Lillestrom, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Torreense?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Lillestrom 1-1 Torreense (11.7% probability). Expected total goals: 2.88.

How does Bawler predict Lillestrom vs Torreense?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Lillestrom 24%, the draw 25% and Torreense 52%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Torreense?

BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.12 and away expected goals 1.76.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Lillestrom vs Torreense?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.88. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Torreense
All fixtures & results →Lillestrom form →Torreense form →