Latvia vs Cyprus prediction — UEFA Nations League · Mon 28 Sept · 17:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Mon 28 Sept · 17:00 UK
32Latvia win25Draw43Cyprus win
Our call before kickoff
68%
Cyprus or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 0–0

How it finished

Latvia and Cyprus drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Cyprus at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Latvia had 8 shots (0 on target) to Cyprus' 18 (5), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.1.

LatviaFull-time statsCyprus
33%Possession67%
0.8Expected goals (xG)1.1
8Shots18
0Shots on target5
6Shots inside box11
0Big chances2
4Corners11
5Saves0
16Fouls12
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCyprus or draw 68%Draw (25% called)
Total goals3.10
Both teams to score62%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals82%
Cyprus to score82%
Latvia to score76%
Goal before half-time75%
3 goals or fewer62%
Both teams score62%
3 or more goals61%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

LatviaLatviaCyprusCyprus
1.4Goals1.7
LatviaLatviaCyprusCyprus
0.6Goals0.8
LatviaLatviaCyprusCyprus
0.8Goals1.0

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Latvia
47%
to score before half-time
Cyprus
53%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Mar 2024Cyprus 1–1 Latvia
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Latvia vs Cyprus?

Latvia and Cyprus drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Cyprus at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Latvia had 8 shots (0 on target) to Cyprus' 18 (5), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Latvia vs Cyprus?

Latvia 0–0 Cyprus, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Latvia 32%, the draw 25% and Cyprus 43%.

What were the stats in Latvia vs Cyprus?

Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.1, Shots 8–18, Shots on target 0–5, Shots inside box 6–11, Big chances 0–2, Corners 4–11, Saves 5–0, Fouls 16–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Latvia vs Cyprus?

No. It finished 0–0, so Latvia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Latvia vs Cyprus right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cyprus or draw 68%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Latvia form →Cyprus form →