What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Latvia vs Cyprus?
Bawler's model rates this match: Latvia are favoured (38% win probability vs 37% for Cyprus, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Latvia vs Cyprus?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Latvia 1-1 Cyprus (10.7% probability). Expected total goals: 3.28.
How does Bawler predict Latvia vs Cyprus?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Latvia 38%, the draw 24% and Cyprus 37%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Latvia vs Cyprus?
BTTS: Yes (65% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.66 and away expected goals 1.62.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Latvia vs Cyprus?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.28. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).