Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 20:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 20:00 UK
Larne 40Draw 28Lincoln Red Imps 32
The call
68%
Larne or draw
2.5
Goals expected
2d 05hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Under 3.5 goals76%
Larne to score74%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5LAR 1 · D 0 · LIN 1

Head to head

Aug 2024Larne 3–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC
Aug 2024Lincoln Red Imps FC 2–1 Larne
Build a combination on this match →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who will win Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Bawler's model rates this match: Larne are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Lincoln Red Imps, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Larne 1-1 Lincoln Red Imps (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.

How does Bawler predict Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Larne 40%, the draw 28% and Lincoln Red Imps 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps?

BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Larne form →Lincoln Red Imps form →