Match prediction·EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification·Thursday 13 Aug, 18:00 UTC

KF Shkëndija vs Hibernian

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
38.0% home36.2% draw25.8% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
KF ShkëndijastepHibernian
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

KF Shkendija average 2.0 corners per game at home this season (4 competitive matches). Hibernian average 4.2 corners per game away from home this season (20 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Under 2.5 goals
73%
Over 2.5 goals
27%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

KF Shkëndija fixtures & form →Hibernian fixtures & form →

KF Shkëndija vs Hibernian — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, KF Shkëndija have won 0, Hibernian have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Hibernian 2–1 KF ShkëndijaEurope: Conference League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: KF Shkëndija 38% · draw 36% · Hibernian 26%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

KF Shkëndija predictions & form →Hibernian predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.