Ipswich Town beat Leicester City 3–1. Bawler's model had Ipswich Town in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Ipswich Town had 14 shots (9 on target) to Leicester City's 22 (9), with 43% of the ball against 57%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 2.0, so Leicester City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Ipswich Town beat Leicester City 3–1. Bawler's model had Ipswich Town in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Ipswich Town had 14 shots (9 on target) to Leicester City's 22 (9), with 43% of the ball against 57%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 2.0, so Leicester City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Ipswich Town 3–1 Leicester City, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ipswich Town 61%, the draw 22% and Leicester City 17%.
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.0, Shots 14–22, Shots on target 9–9, Shots inside box 8–12, Big chances 2–2, Corners 5–3, Saves 8–6, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 11–1, Yellow cards 3–2.
Yes — both Ipswich Town and Leicester City scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ipswich Town to win 61%, it finished Ipswich Town won (61% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes.