Ipswich Town vs Leicester City prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK
Ipswich Town 61Draw 22Leicester City 17
Our call before kickoff
61%
Ipswich Town to win
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
57%

How it finished

Ipswich Town beat Leicester City 3–1. Bawler's model had Ipswich Town in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Ipswich Town had 14 shots (9 on target) to Leicester City's 22 (9), with 43% of the ball against 57%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 2.0, so Leicester City created the better chances and still lost the game.

Ipswich TownFull-time statsLeicester…
43%Possession57%
1.3Expected goals (xG)2.0
14Shots22
9Shots on target9
8Shots inside box12
2Big chances2
5Corners3
8Saves6
11Fouls13
11Offsides1
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callIpswich Town to win 61%Ipswich Town won (61% called)
Total goals3.04
Both teams to score54%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Ipswich TownLeicester City
2.0
Goals+1.0
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Ipswich Town to score87%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals65%
Leicester City to score62%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.0 / match
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Ipswich Town vs Leicester City?

Ipswich Town beat Leicester City 3–1. Bawler's model had Ipswich Town in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Ipswich Town had 14 shots (9 on target) to Leicester City's 22 (9), with 43% of the ball against 57%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 2.0, so Leicester City created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Ipswich Town vs Leicester City?

Ipswich Town 3–1 Leicester City, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ipswich Town 61%, the draw 22% and Leicester City 17%.

What were the stats in Ipswich Town vs Leicester City?

Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.0, Shots 14–22, Shots on target 9–9, Shots inside box 8–12, Big chances 2–2, Corners 5–3, Saves 8–6, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 11–1, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Leicester City?

Yes — both Ipswich Town and Leicester City scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Ipswich Town vs Leicester City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ipswich Town to win 61%, it finished Ipswich Town won (61% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

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