Ipswich Town vs Leicester City prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK
Ipswich Town 40Draw 28Leicester City 32
The call
68%
Ipswich Town or draw
2.5
Goals expected
2d 00hUntil lineups lock

Three forecasts on this match

High
Ipswich Town or draw
68%
Medium
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Outside
Draw
28%

Every market the model rates

Ipswich Town or draw68%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS51%
Ipswich Town win to nil23%
Leicester City or draw60%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Correct score 1–113%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D W D W L W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
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Common questions

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Leicester City?

Bawler's model rates this match: Ipswich Town are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Leicester City, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Leicester City?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Ipswich Town 1-1 Leicester City (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.

How does Bawler predict Ipswich Town vs Leicester City?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Ipswich Town 40%, the draw 28% and Leicester City 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Leicester City?

BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Ipswich Town vs Leicester City?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
Leicester City
Before this
8 AugHNorthampton Town10 W
All fixtures & results →Ipswich Town form →Leicester City form →