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India vs Panama prediction — International friendlies · Fri 25 Sept · 15:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Fri 25 Sept · 15:00 UK · Neutral venue
India 18Draw 23Panama 59
Our call before kickoff
82%
Panama or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

India and Panama drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Panama at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. India had 8 shots (3 on target) to Panama's 15 (7), with 37% of the ball against 63%.

IndiaFull-time statsPanama
37%Possession63%
8Shots15
3Shots on target7
4Corners7
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callPanama or draw 82%Draw (23% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score53%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

01

What we expected

What we expected from each side before kickoff, next to how they had been doing.

IndiaPanama
IN SHORTPanama are forecast to come out ahead on every measure here, with about twice as many goals as India (1.9 v 1.0).
GoalsPanama +0.9
1.0
No recent record
1.9
No recent record
GoalsPanama +0.2
0.4
No recent record
0.6
No recent record
GoalsPanama +0.7
0.6
No recent record
1.4
No recent record

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each card is drawn on one scale, so the two bars are directly comparable. “Above recent” means our forecast is higher than their average over the last six.

02

What we published

How likely we said the big moments were, before kickoff.

72%
Goal before half-time
At least one goal in the first 45 minutes.
53%
Both teams score
Each side finds the net at least once.
56%
3 or more goals
Three or more goals in the match, from either side.
Key takeaways
OPEN GAME
Goals at both ends are likely: 53% both teams score, and 56% for three or more goals.
EARLY GOAL
Panama are likelier to score first half: 57% to score before half-time, against 35% for India. 72% that either side does.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Panama to score85%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%
India to score63%

First half — what we expected

India
35%
to score before half-time
Panama
57%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.9 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won India vs Panama?

India and Panama drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Panama at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. India had 8 shots (3 on target) to Panama's 15 (7), with 37% of the ball against 63%.

What was the final score in India vs Panama?

India 1–1 Panama, played on 25 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with India 18%, the draw 23% and Panama 59%.

What were the stats in India vs Panama?

Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Shots 8–15, Shots on target 3–7, Corners 4–7.

Did both teams score in India vs Panama?

Yes — both India and Panama scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for India vs Panama right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Panama or draw 82%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →India form →Panama form →